Yesterday, Iran's missile attack directed through Turkish airspace caused serious concern. After the incident, the President of Iran called his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, discussed the attack, and stated that the aim was not to strike Turkey. Nevertheless, the fact that the president's words have not been confirmed raises various questions. Some analysts explain the current situation by the relationship between the central government and power structures in the country, and by disarray.
In a statement to Modern.az, military expert Adalat Verdiyev stated that after the war began, significant disagreements between Iranian authorities and power structures have clearly started to emerge:
"Although the country's president has made statements recognizing the territorial integrity and sovereignty of its neighbors and not striking them, it can be said that Iran has created sufficiently serious threats to the territories of all neighboring countries and launched numerous missile and UAV strikes. Some of these strikes were also directed against the territories of Azerbaijan and Turkey. Iran's state structure is quite contradictory. Even though the country has an elected president, we see actions taken by SEPAH that are beyond his will. SEPAH is engaged in activities that directly contradict the president's statements. Alongside SEPAH, there is an institution headed by the Supreme Leader above the President. Such an analogous governance system is not found in any other country in the world".
The expert also spoke about Iran's balance of power domestically and abroad:
"Regarding the balance of power, the greatest influence in domestic processes belongs to SEPAH. SEPAH is also controlled by the Supreme Leader. As for Iran's war with foreign countries, it is not worth discussing the balance of power here. Iran's air defense systems are non-existent. This country's naval forces have suffered significant losses.
If we look at the difference between the first day and the 10th day of the war, we will observe a nearly tenfold decrease in the number of missiles launched. After one month, we will observe Iran's resistance potential approaching zero. It is likely that Iran will accept the harsher conditions put forward by the US".
