On February 28, the situation in the Middle East sharply escalated after the military operations launched by the US and Israel against Iran. From the first days of the war, mutual strikes were carried out between the parties, and military and political risks in the region increased. Against the backdrop of these events, experts are voicing various forecasts regarding the possible outcomes and course of the conflict.
Political scientist Zardusht Alizadeh, in his statement to Modern.az, evaluated the course of the war with historical parallels and expressed his position:
"Despite the attack by the US-Israel alliance, it is not correct to definitively predict the outcome of the war with Iran in advance".
The political scientist noted, citing an example from history, that World War II also began with heavy defeats for the Soviet Union. However, after the turning point in 1943, Soviet troops organized a counter-offensive, forcing Germany to retreat, and ultimately won the war.
According to Zardusht Alizadeh, in the current situation, the US-Israel alliance possesses significant military and economic resources, and the fragmentation of the Islamic world also plays a role in this balance:
Nevertheless, he believes that the resistance shown by the Iranian side significantly impacts the course of events.
"In addition to targeting US military bases in the region, the Iranian Armed Forces have also identified Israel as a primary target. Iran's actions around the Strait of Hormuz also created risks for the global economy".
Z. Alizadeh also noted that societies' reactions to the war could influence the outcomes:
"A spirit of resistance is observed in Iranian society".
According to the political scientist, if a large-scale war occurs in the region, its consequences may not be limited to Iran and could affect broader geopolitical processes:
"If Iran is defeated, attacks on other countries in the region are expected. The US-Israel alliance will then prepare a plan to attack Russia and China"
