Even in 2026, armed conflicts will not subside in the world.
Modern.az reports that French analyst Clément Molin stated this.
According to the analyst, who noted that wars, civil confrontations, and armed clashes are currently ongoing in dozens of countries from Yemen to Ukraine, from Africa to Latin America, despite the efforts of the international community, a number of conflicts will either remain in the form of open warfare or will transition from a “frozen” state back to an active phase.
According to the analyst's forecast, more than 40 territories are under threat of war and internal strife:
“Air strikes against the Houthis in Yemen, disputes over the future of South Arabia, and the confrontation of regional powers further deepen the war. Although the end of the war has been officially declared on the Israel–Palestine front, combat operations are effectively continuing.
As a result of Israel's military operations in the direction of Lebanon, “Hezbollah” has suffered a serious blow. The elimination of a large part of the group's leadership has changed the political balance within the country. In Syria, a gradual transition from war to stability is observed.
Forecasts regarding Iran are harsher. Molin states that in 2025, the mullahs' regime reached the brink of collapse, and a change of power in 2026 appears to be a realistic scenario.
The Russia–Ukraine war enters its fourth year in 2026. According to analysts' calculations, Russia controls approximately 0.9 percent of Ukraine's territory, but the war has entered an even bloodier phase than before.
Sudan is experiencing one of the world's deadliest, yet least noticed, wars. Although serious armed confrontations continue in Ethiopia, they receive almost no attention on the international agenda.
Tensions between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda have spread to the Kivu region. Islamist groups have become active in Mozambique. In the Sahel region, terrorist organizations are attempting to advance towards the Gulf of Guinea.
Separatism and civil war in Somalia, while in Central Africa, Islamist insurgencies and regional tensions around Lake Chad are noteworthy.
Asia and Latin America are also in the risk zone. Clashes continue on the Afghanistan–Pakistan border, radical groups remain the main threat for Pakistan. An unending civil war continues in Myanmar. A new conflict hotspot has emerged between Thailand and Cambodia.
In Indonesia and the Philippines, lesser-known but persistent armed confrontations exist.
The situation in Latin America is particularly severe. Wars between drug cartels in Mexico, Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador, and Haiti have effectively removed some regions from state control”.
Clément Molin states that 2026 will be a year marked by the continuation of large-scale interstate wars, widespread civil confrontations, terror and insurgency-type conflicts, and armed struggles by criminal groups worldwide. "Modern conflicts now also include hybrid warfare, cyberattacks, and unconventional methods of pressure. This means a further increase in risks for global security”.
